Friday, September 6, 2013
The Middle East's Peace of the Grave
By Alan Caruba
After
both great wars of the last century nations got together to create
organizations that would ensure that large conflicts would not occur again.
After
World War I, it was the League of Nations. When Woodrow Wilson (who was
reelected in 1916 after promising to keep the U.S. out of the war in Europe)
tried to get the U.S. to sign on, membership in the League was rejected by
Congress in the interest of retaining our national sovereignty. The Versailles
Treaty that followed the defeat of Germany also set in motion all the elements
of that led to World War II and the creation of colonies, new nation-states, in
the Middle East by the French and British after the fall of the Ottoman Empire.
Even as
World War II was winding down, Franklin D. Roosevelt had work begun on the
creation of the United Nations.
In 2007,
in response to a question from New York Times’ editors, then Senator Barack
Obama explained how he would resolve the problems in Syria. “I would meet
directly with Syrian leaders. We would engage in a level of aggressive personal
diplomacy in which a whole host of issues are on the table…Iran and Syria would
start changing their behavior if they started seeing that they had some
incentives to do so, but right now the only incentive that exists is our
president (Bush) suggesting that if you do what we tell you, we may not blow
you up.”
“My belief
about the regional powers in the Middle East is that they don’t respond well to
that kind of bluster. They haven’t in the past, there’s no reason to think they
will in the future.”
So,
naturally, the President is currently threatening Syria’s Bashar al-Assad with
military action and, having decided to let Congress determine whether he should
be granted permission to proceed, may be deterred if it votes to deny it.
George W.
Bush invaded Iraq in 2003 after putting together a “coalition of the willing”
and going to the United Nations to secure a resolution permitting that action.
His Secretary of State, Colin Powell, made a presentation to the Security
Council in which he presented proof that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass
destruction. Obama’s Secretary of State has argued forcefully for U.S.
intervention in Syria to rid the nation of Assad, but America currently has no
international support, including longtime ally Great Britain.
Bush’s
intervention in Iraq, March 2003 to April 2009, led to casualties whose
estimates range from 110,600 by the Associated Press to more than a million by
the Opinion Research Business Survey. The intervention in Libya in 2011 had estimates
of casualties of protesters, armed belligerents, and civilians ranging from
2,000 to 30,000.
Even a “limited”
military action in Syria would inflict more casualties, adding to the 100,000
that Assad has already slaughtered and is likely to expand the war into
Lebanon, home to Iran’s proxy, Hezbollah, as well as Jordan and possibly
Turkey. Americans are telling their representatives in Congress not to engage
our military.
Writing in
The Weekly Standard on September 6, Reuel Marc Gherecht, a senior fellow at the
Foundation for the Defense of Democracies and a contributing editor, dissected
the problems posed by Syria and Iran, along with al Qaeda. “When it comes to
the Middle East, Obama’s presidency has largely been predicated on two ideas: A
hegemonic America is a bad thing, and the second Iraq war was a serious mistake.”
“Time has
been unkind to Obama,” said Gherecht. “The withdrawal from Iraq has not left
that country better off…al Qaeda now boasts, along with Iran and its militant
Iraqi allies, that it drove the Americans out of the country.” Hardly a week
has gone by since American military forces left that bombs by Sunni militants
have not killed Shiite Iraqis.
In Syria,
as Assad’s forces have been unable to quell the rebellion, he has turned to the
use of poison gas.
In Egypt,
Obama originally backed the Muslim Brotherhood’s overthrow of Hosni Mubarak and
in Syria in August 2011 he had told Assad he had to go. It took action by the
Egyptian military to remove the government led by the Muslim Brotherhood. Libya
remains in a chaotic state between its tribal factions. The civil war in Syria
rages on.
“Barack
Obama,” says Gherecht, “is now the American everyone in the region loves to
hate.”
Worse than
that, warning of the need to intercede in Syria, he said “That so many in the
West don’t see this, and are unwilling to go to war to stop such an atrocity—to
send a clear signal to tyrants elsewhere—only shows how far we’ve come since
9/11. The Middle East’s power politics have again, hit us head on. We are,
perhaps, too ‘fatigued’ this time round for the challenge.”
The only
peace in the Middle East is the peace of the grave and the region threatens to
erupt into a wider conflagration in much the same way World War II followed in
the wake of the World War I.
International
organizations, the United Nations, the European Union, NATO, the Arab League,
and others have proven themselves incapable of a diplomatic resolution to the self-interest
of Middle East dictators and monarchies, and the growing tide of Islamic
fanaticism.
Barack
Obama, with his pathological narcissism, believed that his Muslim upbringing
and his Marxist ideology held the key to bringing peace to the Middle East. He
has been proven wrong in the same way his domestic policies are bankrupting
America and his foreign policies are dragging it into a war he desperately
wanted to avoid and now feels compelled to pursue.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
Thursday, September 5, 2013
Will Australians Vote to End the Carbon Tax?
By Alan
Caruba
There’s an
election in Australia on Saturday, September 7, and while the economy is of the
greatest concern, it is a carbon tax that has driven up costs and put
businesses into closure that is the issue that will determine
the outcome. Meanwhile, in the U.S., imposing a carbon tax remains a top
priority of the Obama administration.
A carbon
tax is really a tax on the use of energy. Diehard environmentalists oppose any
form of energy use. The code words are “greenhouse gas emissions”, meaning
carbon dioxide (CO2) that the Greens constantly tell us will cause the Earth’s
temperature to rise, but the Earth is not cooperating, having been in a natural
cooling cycle going on 17 years now. Nor are the apocalyptic predictions about
CO2 anything more than lies given the fact that it is a minimal element of the
Earth’s atmosphere. That said, without it, all life on Earth would die because
all vegetation depends on it.
In “Taxing
Air: Facts and Fallacies About Climate Change”, Bob Carter and colleagues
dismember green claims and, addressing Australia’s carbon tax, note that “price
increases will cascade through the economy, and for most of them no
compensation will be proposed. At the bottom of the pile, to whom the accrued
costs will be passed, lies the squashed citizen and consumer.” Those citizens will be voting on Saturday.
As an
article in The Guardian, a British daily, noted, a conservative coalition led
by Tony Abbott is likely to win, ending six years of Labor (socialist) rule
that included a battle within the Labor party for its leadership, the result of
its having passed a carbon tax after the then-Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, had
promised not to impose it. Kevin Rudd challenged and replaced her. Now he and
the Labor party are expected to be defeated.
“Having
built his standing as opposition leader on the contention that Labor’s carbon
tax would destroy jobs and hurt households,” the Guardian article noted,
“Abbott has promised his first legislative act as prime minister will be to
repeal it.”
What has
occurred in Australia is a case history example of what happens when greens get
their way. They always manage to destroy the economy. A recent study of
Australia’s carbon tax by the Institute for Energy Research yielded the
following findings:
# In the
year after Australia’s carbon tax was introduced, household electricity prices
rose 15%, including the biggest quarterly increase on record.
# Currently
19% of the typical household’s electricity bill is due to Australia’s carbon
tax and other "green" programs such as a renewable energy mandate.
# The job
market had previously been stable, but after Australia’s carbon tax, the number
of unemployed workers has risen by more than 10%.
# Because
Australia's exports are relatively emissions intensive, the practical result of
the Australian carbon tax serves as a tax on exports and import-competing
industries.
# Australia’s
carbon tax was accompanied by income tax increases for 2.2 million taxpayers.
# Due to
fiscal gaps that exist between carbon tax revenues and increased government
spending that accompanied the scheme, Australia's budget bottom line will
worsen as higher deficits and greater public debt increase.
# Carbon
dioxide emissions have actually increased, and will not fall below current
levels until 2043, according to the Australian government.
Viv
Forbes, chairman of the Carbon Sense coalition in Australia, an opponent of the
carbon tax and other green proposals, says “The growing failure of green energy
in Europe should warn Australia to abandon bi-partisan policies dictating
targets, mandates and subsidies for ‘green’ energy.”
This
mirrors the same problems here in America where billions in loans to so-called
green energy companies can be added to the list of Obama administration
scandals as one after another went out of business. Solar and wind power is proving to be as great a hoax as “global
warming” and a very costly one at that. How long has it being going on? Jimmy
Carter had solar panels placed on the roof of the White House. Ronald Reagan
had them removed. Barack Obama has had them installed.
Fifteen
million registered voters in Australia will go to the polls and render their
judgment on September 7. It is a vote that should be reported upon in the
United States, but it more likely to be ignored or buried.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
Wednesday, September 4, 2013
Why Syria?
By Alan Caruba
Conservatives
are asking themselves why liberals, so opposed to Bush’s war against Iraq and
its dictator, Saddam Hussein, are so hell bent to get into a war in Syria and
its dictator, Bashar al-Assad?
The
President’s assertion of a short attack has been called “the Goldilocks”
approach to war, offered as a measured, limited response to the use of poison
gas that killed over a thousand men, women and children in late August. Wars,
however, do not lend themselves to such measures. They have a way of getting
out of control, drawing in nations that have no wish to engage in them.
Moreover,
there is ample reason not to rush into any military operation until we know
whether, in fact, the poison gas was used by Assad or by rebel forces seeking
to draw the U.S. and other nations into the conflict. Logically, there was no
reason for Assad to use poison gas. All observers were of the view that he was
winning the civil war at the cost of slaughtering 100,000 Syrians and turning
millions into refugees.
This is
not the first time the world has stood aside while such slaughters have taken
place. It is an ugly truth, but it is the truth.
Who is
rushing to resolve the horror that is Syria? Not the United Nations. Not NATO.
Not Great Britain. Not Saudi Arabia. Not the Arab League. Nor has the United
States to the point where Obama had to reverse course and ask for permission
from Congress.
When you
also consider the failure of the U.S. to arm “moderate” rebel forces as
promised, it raises still more questions regarding who to arm and why the
proposal has proven so resistant to fulfillment.
An element
of the Benghazi scandal is the widespread belief that Libya was being used for
the covert transfer of weapons, but that does not explain why the Obama
administration blatantly lied about those who perpetrated the attack that
killed an American ambassador and three security personnel, nor why there was
no effort to come to their aid.
It is
absurd to say that Assad’s Syria represents a threat to American national
security and the hearings on Capitol Hill made it clear that the Joint Chiefs
are very reluctant to initiate an attack that, militarily, is not likely to do
much to degrade Assad’s ability to wage war. The Syrian operation comes at a
time when the nation’s military capacities have been worn down by more than a
decade of fighting in the Middle East. Congress would have to make a special
appropriation to cover the cost of the use and replacement of missiles.
Americans
have been forced to witness a theatre of the absurd as Democratic Party
spokespersons from Obama to Kerry, Pelosi to Wasserman-Schultz, defend the
attack while supported by RINOs John McCain and Lindsay Graham. Even Republican
leaders such as John Boehner and Eric Cantor have had to make the calculation to
support Obama in order to avoid having the nation look weak in the wake of his
“red line” statements.
The
problem, however, is that the U.S. does look weak after its involvement in
Afghanistan and Iraq. Adding Syria to the list will only enforce that
perception.
It is more
than a perception. It is a reality. A nation tottering on bankruptcy and
default is, by definition, weak. A nation that has degraded its military power
is, by definition, weak. A nation led by a vacillating, incompetent President
is, by definition, weak.
It has
taken barely five years for Obama to “fundamentally transform” America into a
liberal cesspool of debt, widespread unemployment, and now a debate over
whether to use military power to help him “save face” in a world where the fate
of Syria is way down on the list of priorities, led by the increasingly
desperate need to save America.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
Tuesday, September 3, 2013
The Arabs are the New Jews
By Alan Caruba
The debate
about whether or when to inflict some “punishment” on Syria’s Bashar al-Assad
put me in mind of the run-up to World War II when the U.S. State Department was
reluctant to admit German Jews seeking sanctuary and, after the D-Day invasion,
the discovery of the Nazi death camps where six million Jews from around Europe
perished.
So long as
it was Jews doing the dying, the world just didn’t care that much and now, so
long as it is Arabs—over 100,000 Syrians—the world still doesn’t care.
Moreover,
the Arabs of the Middle East have given the West little reason to be concerned
for their lives. Who has killed more Arabs than any other group? Arabs. The
jihadists have bombed and murdered their fellow Muslims with abandon and
continue to do so.
Poison gas
was used by Saddam Hussein and is being likely used by both Assad and the
rebels seeking to overthrow him.
It is the poison gas the West fears, not the
fate of the Syrians or other Arabs.
The
nightmare that the West refuses to confront is a nuclear-armed Iran. If and
when the Israelis—Jews—take action to disable the Iranian nuclear operations,
they will have saved themselves and the West.
Congress
will likely approve some kind of authorization for the President to take some
action. The draft that the White House sent was deemed too broadly written so
the lawyers in Congress will fret it about with limits. That’s a good thing because
whatever Obama does will be an act of war and a rather futile one at that.
An article
in the September 2 World Tribune reported that “President Barack Obama has
encountered vigorous resistance from the military to his plans to attack
Syria.”
Assad will
have plenty of time to continue waging war on the Syrian rebels. He’s too busy
killing Syrians who, true to the tribal nature of the region, will remain busy
killing Alawites, Christians, Druze, and others. Neither the Russians, nor the
Iranians want a bigger war. They want a seaport and a pipeline respectively.
Congress
will also have to find a billion dollars with which to pay for the missiles we
use and to replace them. A nation that is $17 trillion in debt doesn’t have the
money to wage a war. A short, symbolic slap will have to suffice.
There will
be no “boots on the ground.” Our army is worn out by more than a decade of
fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq. Our air force is flying a lot of old planes.
Our navy has been reduced to less vessels than are needed in a dangerous world.
Mostly, though, Americans are understandably just tired of fighting in the
Middle East and achieving nothing.
If we
could find and kill Osama bin Laden, there is no reason why we could not have
done the same with Saddam Hussein and now Bashar al-Assad. It’s cheaper and
just as effective.
For a
while, Bashar was the darling of the liberals in Congress. Nancy Pelosi visited
him. In 2007, despite White House objections, she traveled to Damascus to meet
with Assad. At the time she said she had “expressed our concern about Syria’s
connections to Hezbollah and Hamas” and raised the issue of the sanctuary that
Syria was providing those fighting U.S. troops in neighboring Iraq.
Then-President Bush said, “A lot of people have gone to see President Assad…and
yet we haven’t seen action. He hasn’t responded.”
Ironically, it is now Pelosi who is urging Obama to take military action
against Assad.
In 2011 on
Face the Nation then-Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, was asked why the
U.S. was not intervening in Syria as it had in Libya. When CBS newsman Bob
Schieffer remarked that Assad’s father had killed 25,000 Syrians in Hama in
1982, Clinton replied that Syria had a different leader and one that recent
visitors regarded as “a reformer.”
Among
those who had visited Assad was then-Sen. John Kerry, the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee chairman, who had been there at least six times; most
recently in November 2010. He pushed hard to re-engage the Assad regime and
notably without any success.
Assuming
Congress lets President Obama wipe the egg from his face over his “red line”
comment, Assad will respond with the usual threats and go back to killing
Syrians. Having seen the U.S. response to the use of poison gas, it will likely
be removed and transported to Iran. It is likely that it originated in Iraq.
So long as
it is Arabs dying, the West and the rest of the world is unlikely to intervene.
The U.S. tried that. It did not work out well.
© Alan
Caruba
Monday, September 2, 2013
The Three-Decade Delay of a Nuclear Waste Repository
By Alan Caruba
There was
a time when the United States was a can-do nation that built canals, bridges,
railroads, and highways. Now we are a nation whose civil engineers annually
report the dangers of decaying infrastructure. A perfect example of how
incompetent our government has become is the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste
repository.
In 1982
the U.S. Congress established a national policy to solve the problem of nuclear
waste disposal. As far back as 1957, the National Academy of Sciences had
recommended that the best way to address the problem was to dispose of it in
deep underground rock. In 1987, Yucca Mountain in Nevada was designated as the
site. It was immediately opposed by both environmentalists and others. Congress
approved the site in 2002.
An
Associated Press article on August 13 reported on a recent decision by the U.S.
Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia ruling that the Nuclear
Regulatory Commission had to complete the licensing progress and approve or
reject the Energy Department’s application for the site.
“The court’s decision was hailed by
supporters of the Yucca site, which has been the focus of a dispute that
stretches back more than three decades,” reported the AP. “The government has
spent an estimated $15 billion on the site but never completed it. No waste is
stored there.”
The
failure to open the Yucca Mountain repository is an obscenity. Instead of
storing nuclear waste in the most studied piece of U.S. geography in the
history of the nation, it is stored at more than seventy (70) sites around the
nation. The Yucca Mountain site was supposed to begin accepting spent fuel by
January 31, 1998, fifteen years ago.
The
Appeals Court delivered a serious rebuke to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission
which has essentially been treated as a political instrument of the Obama
administration. The Court said the NRC was “simply flouting the law” when it
allowed the Obama administration to continue plans to close site. This is
especially egregious insofar as federal law designates the site as the nation’s
nuclear waste repository.
“The
President may not decline to follow a statutory mandate or prohibition simply
because of policy objections,” said Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh who wrote the
majority (2 to 1) opinion. “It is no overstatement to say that our constitutional
system of separation of powers would be significantly altered if we were to
allow executive and independent agencies to disregard federal law in the manner
asserted in this case by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.”
It is not
just the President and the NRC that will not uphold the law that Congress
passed. It is has been the Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid, Democrat from
Nevada. Kim Strassel noted in an August 15 commentary that “Mr. Reid has for
years single-handedly thwarted Congress’s will to create a deep storage
facility…Such has been one senator’s ability to render the 1982 Nuclear Waste
Policy Act, 30 years of work, and $15 billion of federal funds moot.”
The
arrogance of Sen. Reid, with the support of the President, is that of imperial
kings and other monarchs for whom their personal agenda outweighs the welfare
of the rest of the nation. The project was abandoned in the President’s first
term; in 2011 the NRC, a supposedly independent agency, allowed the shutdown to
stand.
The
present claim is that there is no money to move forward with the completion of
Yucca Mountain and it is true that opponents in Congress, led by Sen. Reid,
have cut nearly all funding in the last three years, but the court said that
the NRC has about $11 million remaining for the purpose of funding a review of
its safety. Congressional staffers who have seen a redacted draft of the review
to date say that is safe.
Nuclear
waste, the by-product of electric power generation at commercial nuclear plants
and of high-level radioactive waste from reprocessed spent fuel, must be stored
somewhere. Congress addressed that in 1982, more than three decades ago. We are
still waiting for a rational, practical solution because of politics, not
science, nor common sense.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
Sunday, September 1, 2013
The Incredible Shrinking President
By Alan Caruba
In 1981
Lily Tomlin starred in a film, “The Incredible Shrinking Woman”, and it seems
to me that Barack Obama is starring in the 2013 sequel, “The Incredible
Shrinking President.”
A half
hour late to his Rose Garden announcement on Saturday, President Obama put the
best possible spin he could on his badly timed threat to lob a half-billion
dollars’ worth of Tomahawk missiles into Syria as retaliation for the gas
attack; one whose perpetrator is not as yet known with any certainty.
This is a
President who could not put together a coalition of nations to support his
proposed action. His predecessor (“It’s all Bush’s fault”) had some forty
nations on board for his attack on Iraq. Obama could not get a United Nations’
resolution. His predecessor had some sixteen UN resolutions. He has been told
that Congress would have to authorize covering the cost of the action and of
replacing the missiles because his administration has cut the Defense Department
budget to the bone.
There’s a
word to describe someone who would get himself into such a fix: JERK.
Obama will
fly off to a G-20 conference where the other world leaders will no doubt treat
him like the witless fool he has proved himself to be time after time. What
other president would announce a surge into Afghanistan in 2011 at the same time he announces when the troops
would be leaving? What other president has managed in increase Russia’s
influence in the Middle East while diminishing our own?
France has
offered to hold his coat while he engages the U.S. in an utterly futile
military attack on Syria, but the British concluded that they wanted no part of
it. The whole of the NATO pact nations have made that plain as well. Obama
couldn’t organize a weekend camping trip for a pack of Boy Scouts.
While he
makes himself look weak, he is also making the U.S. look weak and that is
because we have been weakened…by him. When Clinton did this after U.S.
embassies were bombed, we ended up with 9/11. Obama’s reaction to last year’s
Benghazi attack was to lie about it.
Looming
over everything is a massive $17 trillion debt that is largely the result of
incredibly inept decisions Obama made since taking office. The “stimulus” that
pour billions into non-existent “shovel ready jobs”, the billions wasted on
“renewable energy” companies that promptly went bankrupt, the takeover of
General Motors that stiffed its creditors, and, of course, Obamacare.
The damage
Obama has done to the U.S. will take the effort of several presidents to
repair, assuming that the nation doesn’t implode from its debt and the
declining value of the dollar. Obama’s solution is to raise taxes. Kennedy’s
and Reagan’s was to lower them and thus speed recovery. Obama is a JERK.
In the
process of shrinking, it is interesting to watch the way his incessant
speech-making has rendered his audience deaf to what he is saying. Not only was
he late to the podium on Saturday, but the only thing anyone really heard was
that he was calling off the missile attack.
Asking for
a vote in Congress was his only option despite his assertion that he could take
the nation into war on his own authority. He may well discover that he has united Congress against him despite top secret briefings and other theatrics. By
now the members of Congress have learned to be wary of the “intelligence” being
provided.
By now the
members of Congress are unhappy with a President who has demonstrated he would
prefer to govern without them. By now even members of his own party know that
Obamacare is a disaster that can cost them their seats. As the midterm
elections loom in 2014, it will be every Democrat for himself or herself. It
sets him up for a historic rebuke.
In terms
of real power, one can see it seeping away and Obama has likely already begun
his lame duck presidency earlier than is the customary two years before the
next national election. The midterm elections in 2014 could cost the Democrats
control of the Senate and the House. At that point, Obama will have plenty of
time to play golf.
I have,
over the course of his first term, written on this same theme and it has taken
some time for me to grasp just how powerful the support of the mainstream media
has been in protecting Obama from gaffs and bad policies. I have taken note of
the disaffection expressed by some in the liberal media, thinking that it was
larger than just a particular columnist or editorial.
I think,
however, that Obama has reached a genuine tipping point. Even if Congress were
to authorize a missile attack on Syria despite what he admits is a “war weary
nation”, it will be discounted as too little, too late.
At that
point, like all second term presidents, Obama will feel his power to influence
events slip away. No doubt he already has.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)













